Updated 1/11/2022
Rank | Team | expected_home_wins | expected_away_wins | expected_wins |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Georgia | 126.381 | 119.846 | 246.227 |
2 | Alabama | 125.706 | 118.776 | 244.483 |
3 | Michigan | 124.567 | 116.601 | 241.168 |
4 | Ohio State | 123.634 | 114.275 | 237.908 |
5 | Cincinnati | 122.929 | 113.47 | 236.398 |
6 | Baylor | 120.777 | 110.696 | 231.473 |
7 | Notre Dame | 120.135 | 109.009 | 229.144 |
8 | Clemson | 118.337 | 107.175 | 225.511 |
9 | Louisiana | 118.502 | 106.652 | 225.154 |
10 | Oklahoma State | 116.804 | 104.053 | 220.857 |
11 | Oklahoma | 116.288 | 103.655 | 219.943 |
12 | Ole Miss | 115.914 | 103.377 | 219.291 |
13 | Utah | 115.737 | 102.363 | 218.1 |
14 | Pittsburgh | 115.767 | 102.173 | 217.939 |
15 | Michigan State | 112.265 | 98.46 | 210.726 |
16 | Houston | 112.082 | 97.082 | 209.164 |
17 | UT San Antonio | 109.818 | 94.426 | 204.244 |
18 | Wisconsin | 109.278 | 94.272 | 203.55 |
19 | NC State | 107.649 | 91.56 | 199.209 |
20 | San Diego State | 106.902 | 91.457 | 198.359 |
21 | Oregon | 106.276 | 91.053 | 197.328 |
22 | Iowa | 105.937 | 90.65 | 196.587 |
23 | Purdue | 104.544 | 88.306 | 192.85 |
24 | Fresno State | 104.542 | 87.824 | 192.366 |
25 | Kentucky | 104.353 | 87.355 | 191.707 |
26 | Minnesota | 103.49 | 87.036 | 190.527 |
27 | Arkansas | 102.972 | 86.545 | 189.518 |
28 | Texas A&M | 102.685 | 85.774 | 188.46 |
29 | Wake Forest | 102.625 | 84.707 | 187.331 |
30 | BYU | 100.896 | 83.918 | 184.814 |
31 | Utah State | 100.828 | 83.583 | 184.411 |
32 | Appalachian State | 100.851 | 83.009 | 183.859 |
33 | UCLA | 100.276 | 82.376 | 182.652 |
34 | Boise State | 99.878 | 82.22 | 182.098 |
35 | Coastal Carolina | 100.579 | 81.425 | 182.005 |
36 | Tennessee | 95.766 | 77.516 | 173.282 |
37 | Western Kentucky | 95.972 | 76.488 | 172.459 |
38 | Miami | 94.187 | 77.044 | 171.23 |
39 | LSU | 92.035 | 75.32 | 167.355 |
40 | Georgia State | 91.709 | 74.226 | 165.935 |
41 | UCF | 91.117 | 73.218 | 164.335 |
42 | Penn State | 90.469 | 72.554 | 163.023 |
43 | Mississippi State | 89.933 | 72.692 | 162.625 |
44 | Central Michigan | 90.073 | 71.935 | 162.008 |
45 | Arizona State | 89.812 | 71.712 | 161.524 |
46 | Iowa State | 89.33 | 70.132 | 159.462 |
47 | UAB | 88.603 | 70.445 | 159.048 |
48 | Air Force | 87.821 | 68.597 | 156.418 |
49 | Washington State | 85.287 | 67.504 | 152.791 |
50 | East Carolina | 84.724 | 66.558 | 151.282 |
51 | Tulsa | 82.243 | 64.656 | 146.899 |
52 | Florida State | 82.07 | 64.292 | 146.362 |
53 | SMU | 82.288 | 63.243 | 145.531 |
54 | Florida | 81.601 | 63.756 | 145.357 |
55 | South Carolina | 80.687 | 64.294 | 144.98 |
56 | Kansas State | 80.809 | 62.38 | 143.189 |
57 | Auburn | 80.215 | 62.599 | 142.814 |
58 | North Carolina | 80.443 | 62.228 | 142.67 |
59 | Northern Illinois | 79.757 | 62.379 | 142.137 |
60 | West Virginia | 78.432 | 61.806 | 140.238 |
61 | Nevada | 79.574 | 60.646 | 140.221 |
62 | Texas | 78.484 | 60.009 | 138.493 |
63 | Oregon State | 76.934 | 58.996 | 135.93 |
64 | Illinois | 76.031 | 59.295 | 135.326 |
65 | Maryland | 75.808 | 59.37 | 135.178 |
66 | Toledo | 76.619 | 57.624 | 134.243 |
67 | Texas Tech | 75.724 | 58.177 | 133.901 |
68 | North Texas | 73.856 | 56.939 | 130.796 |
69 | Missouri | 72.833 | 56.676 | 129.509 |
70 | Louisville | 72.826 | 55.006 | 127.832 |
71 | Army | 71.295 | 52.958 | 124.253 |
72 | Western Michigan | 70.859 | 53.108 | 123.966 |
73 | Memphis | 68.951 | 52.11 | 121.061 |
74 | Marshall | 68.098 | 50.023 | 118.121 |
75 | Virginia Tech | 67.143 | 50.97 | 118.113 |
76 | TCU | 66.181 | 50.925 | 117.106 |
77 | Old Dominion | 65.507 | 49.408 | 114.916 |
78 | Virginia | 65.26 | 48.46 | 113.721 |
79 | California | 64.086 | 47.93 | 112.016 |
80 | Kent State | 63.679 | 47.972 | 111.651 |
81 | Miami (OH) | 63.899 | 47.005 | 110.905 |
82 | Middle Tennessee | 63.722 | 47.082 | 110.805 |
83 | Boston College | 62.999 | 47.264 | 110.263 |
84 | Eastern Michigan | 60.843 | 44.82 | 105.663 |
85 | Hawai’i | 59.615 | 44.232 | 103.847 |
86 | Liberty | 59.816 | 42.4 | 102.216 |
87 | Washington | 56.914 | 41.865 | 98.779 |
88 | Ball State | 56.301 | 41.755 | 98.056 |
89 | Wyoming | 56.334 | 40.809 | 97.144 |
90 | Troy | 55.021 | 41.225 | 96.247 |
91 | Syracuse | 55.105 | 40.85 | 95.955 |
92 | Nebraska | 55.217 | 39.988 | 95.205 |
93 | Colorado | 51.881 | 39.093 | 90.974 |
94 | USC | 51.6 | 37.382 | 88.982 |
95 | UTEP | 51.402 | 37.09 | 88.492 |
96 | Navy | 50.646 | 37.433 | 88.079 |
97 | Rutgers | 48.83 | 36.265 | 85.095 |
98 | San José State | 47.211 | 34.968 | 82.179 |
99 | Texas State | 46.841 | 34.463 | 81.304 |
100 | Florida Atlantic | 46.821 | 33.655 | 80.476 |
101 | South Alabama | 41.903 | 29.531 | 71.434 |
102 | Georgia Tech | 40.009 | 29.264 | 69.272 |
103 | Stanford | 38.733 | 28.238 | 66.971 |
104 | Northwestern | 38.073 | 28.207 | 66.28 |
105 | UNLV | 36.298 | 26.353 | 62.651 |
106 | Bowling Green | 36.283 | 26.15 | 62.433 |
107 | Rice | 33.068 | 24.216 | 57.285 |
108 | Georgia Southern | 33.103 | 23.803 | 56.906 |
109 | Charlotte | 33.098 | 23.304 | 56.402 |
110 | Colorado State | 32.694 | 22.509 | 55.203 |
111 | Southern Mississippi | 31.084 | 22.556 | 53.64 |
112 | Ohio | 31.51 | 22.058 | 53.568 |
113 | Indiana | 30.381 | 22.706 | 53.088 |
114 | Vanderbilt | 29.106 | 21.456 | 50.562 |
115 | Kansas | 28.05 | 20.74 | 48.79 |
116 | Louisiana Monroe | 27.914 | 19.813 | 47.726 |
117 | Tulane | 27.625 | 19.329 | 46.954 |
118 | Duke | 26.847 | 19.612 | 46.459 |
119 | New Mexico | 25.852 | 18.979 | 44.83 |
120 | Arizona | 25.854 | 18.541 | 44.395 |
121 | Buffalo | 26.337 | 17.877 | 44.214 |
122 | South Florida | 25.829 | 18.279 | 44.109 |
123 | Louisiana Tech | 25.982 | 17.654 | 43.636 |
124 | Arkansas State | 24.359 | 17.213 | 41.572 |
125 | Temple | 22.352 | 16.71 | 39.062 |
126 | Florida International | 18.088 | 12.721 | 30.809 |
127 | New Mexico State | 15.047 | 10.553 | 25.6 |
128 | Connecticut | 13.669 | 10.052 | 23.72 |
129 | Akron | 13.781 | 9.845 | 23.626 |
130 | UMass | 12.395 | 9.076 | 21.471 |